Decision analysis

Evaluación | Biopsicología | Comparativo | Cognitivo | Del desarrollo | Idioma | Diferencias individuales | Personalidad | Filosofía | Social | Métodos | Estadística | Clínico | Educativo | Industrial | Artículos profesionales | Psicología mundial | Estadística: Método científico · Métodos de búsqueda · Diseño experimental · cursos de pregrado de estadistica · Pruebas estadísticas · Teoría de juego · Decision theory Decision analysis (DA) is the discipline comprising the philosophy, teoría, methodology, and professional practice necessary to address important decisions in a formal manner. Decision analysis includes many procedures, methods, and tools for identifying, clearly representing, and formally assessing the important aspects of a decision situation, for computing the recommended course of action by applying the maximum expected utility action axiom to a well-formed representation of the decision, and for translating the formal representation of a decision and its corresponding recommendation into insight for the decision-maker and other decision participants. The term decision analysis was coined in 1964 by Ronald A. Howard, who since then, as a professor at Stanford University, has been instrumental in developing much of the practice and professional application of DA. The Decision Analytic Methods are used to control environmental hazards. Bibliography Clemen, Robert, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2ª edición (1996), Belmont CA: Duxbury Press, 1996. Goodwin, PAGS., and G. Wright, Decision Analysis for Management Judgment, 3rd edición (2004). Wiley, Chichester. ISBN 0-470-86108-8 Holtzman, Samuel, Intelligent Decision Systems (1989), Addison Wesley. Howard, R.A., and J.E. Matheson (Editores), Readings on the Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis, 2 Volúmenes (1984), Menlo Park CA: Strategic Decisions Group. Raiffa, Howard, Decision Analysis: Introductory Readings on Choices Under Uncertainty (1997). Colina McGraw. ISBN 0-07-052579-X Smith, J.Q., Decision Analysis: A Bayesian Approach (1988), Chapman and Hall. ISBN 0-412-27520-1 Matheson, David, and Matheson, Jim, The Smart Organization: Creating Value through Strategic R&D (1998). Harvard Business School Press. ISBN 0-87584-765-X Hammond, J.S. and Keeney, R.L. and Raiffa, H., Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions (1999). Harvard Business School Press Keeney, R.L.,Value-focused thinking -- A Path to Creative Decisionmaking (1992). Harvard University Press See also Decision analysis cycle Decision model Decision theory Decision support Influence diagram Maximum expected utility Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) Esta página utiliza contenido con licencia Creative Commons de Wikipedia (ver autores).